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one week to trim the field down to the possibles and toss the restfalling sky / soundly beaten last 2 at shorter dist than the derbycharming kitten / has yet to even race on DIRT owner's ego and money puts him in the derby
Will Take Charge is a huge horse. I'm not ready to toss him, even if Lukas hasn't been a factor in the Derby for years.
I'm sure you meant to say Charming Kitten has never raced on DIRT...being out of Kitten's Joy, he should have stayed on the turf.
Frac Daddy....just one lifetime win, and was buried in the Holy Bull and the Florida Derby, before running 2nd to get in the field in the slow Arkansas Derby. Don't like him at all. Palace Malice....also has just one lifetime win, and really doesn't have that winning kick to be a factor. I also don't think he faced much of the top competition, the one time he faced Revolutionary he was well beaten. Will Take Charge/Oxbow....Lukas always does what he can to get horses that aren't that good into the Derby. The Rebel got these two going which was a terrible field. Neither of these horses is very consistent or very fast.
Goldencents will have to beat me as well. no Horse that wins the Delta Jackpot is going to be on my ticket. They have never been a factor in the derby. The Santa Anita Derby was awful.Governor Charlie has a foot problem and from reports, hasn't looked good galloping. I will also add Java's war to the list. He will be 20th, and he will not get there. I agree with all the others you guys have mentioned