Author Topic: Winning percentage question!  (Read 4895 times)

LVGaryD

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2012, 09:42:31 PM »
Like Hal infers, ROI and trying to win one race per night are two different things. I'm going to say no more than 30% winners if you picked one race every night.

jug

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2012, 08:46:21 AM »
Like Hal infers, ROI and trying to win one race per night are two different things. I'm going to say no more than 30% winners if you picked one race every night.

30% ?........quit picking Dan Kennedy and Bruce Sturgeon and you numbers will improve!  ;D

jug

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #17 on: July 24, 2012, 08:49:06 AM »
Playing one race a night-- rflmao1 rflmao1 rflmao1 rflmao1  Who the hell does that!
If I wanted to pick for winning % I think I would hit 60%

Of course,  I don't like betting chaulk so if it was for ROI I'd be happy to hit 20% because I'd be looking to get 8-1 or better on the play.

Nobody Hal, thats why 99% of us are losers!  4pezz2.....I usually play 12-13 races (per track)!   rflmao1 rflmao1

I am confident that I could pick 50% at Nfld and Scioto.....nowhere near that anywhere else!

The Skipper

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #18 on: July 24, 2012, 09:16:34 AM »
 
I know "spot betting" I was proobably 80+ percent and some of those winners were good odds but that

might be one race a week. I have gone weeks tho just casual betting without a winner.

LVGaryD

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #19 on: July 24, 2012, 10:24:38 AM »

I know "spot betting" I was proobably 80+ percent and some of those winners were good odds but that

might be one race a week. I have gone weeks tho just casual betting without a winner.
80%?

I gotta get my boots out. My hip boots.  4pezz2

The Skipper

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #20 on: July 24, 2012, 12:44:44 PM »
80%?

I gotta get my boots out. My hip boots.  4pezz2

You'd be amazed at the things you can do when you don't fill your body with weed, pain killers, 6 month

old bacon and 3 month old chili among other things. When racing was racing I can think of 8-10 guys

on this forum that could do that and even better. I wonder how many tris have you hit for 1 straight

$300.00 ticket ? or $30.00 straight supers ? 100.00 P-3's ?  How many times have you left the track

with over 25k in your pocket ?  If you payed any attention I used the word WAS because now I seldom

bet anymore, I don't like many races but I still think some guys here could "spot bet" better than 80%.

The Skipper

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #21 on: July 24, 2012, 12:52:00 PM »

I forgot to mention my buddy Pezzy doodles SWEPT the card on pace night, I know he had the pick 5

and I think both pick 4's and I don't know if he played the pick 6.   bowdown

LVGaryD

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #22 on: July 24, 2012, 12:59:53 PM »
When racing was racing I can think of 8-10 guys on this forum that could do that and even better. I wonder how many tris have you hit for 1 straight $300.00 ticket ? or $30.00 straight supers ? 100.00 P-3's ? 

How many times have you left the track with over 25k in your pocket ?  If you payed any attention I used the word WAS because now I seldom bet anymore, I don't like many races but I still think some guys here could "spot bet" better than 80%.
I never did any of that stuff. It would have been very easy though in Chicago in the 1970s though.

 slaphead

beans and weenies

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #23 on: July 24, 2012, 03:27:31 PM »
30% ?........quit picking Dan Kennedy and Bruce Sturgeon and you numbers will improve!  ;D

 rflmao1

beans and weenies

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #24 on: July 24, 2012, 03:28:33 PM »
I forgot to mention my buddy Pezzy doodles SWEPT the card on pace night, I know he had the pick 5

and I think both pick 4's and I don't know if he played the pick 6.   bowdown
bowdown bowdown

tonyb147

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #25 on: July 27, 2012, 03:36:32 PM »

I know "spot betting" I was proobably 80+ percent and some of those winners were good odds but that

might be one race a week. I have gone weeks tho just casual betting without a winner.
I have to agree with Skipper. If you ignore price and just play to win I think you can get in the 70-80% area. Doesn't mean your roi will be good if they're all 1/5.

My track is M1.
Friday I'll take two:
Race 2 #1 entry and Race 3 #4
Saturday I'll take two more:
Race 3 #3 and Race 10 #4
Lets give it a try.

jug

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #26 on: July 27, 2012, 07:38:56 PM »
In my pursuit to win the bet and pick over 70% I have already hit a small bump!

A Virgil Morgan horse tonight you sat on the rail and never made a move!  4pezz2


Last night 1-1 with Semaj Sam at Scioto  $5.80

Tonight 0-1 with Moiras Bliss as my second winner of the night coming up in a couple minutes at Nfld!

Just Saying

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #27 on: July 28, 2012, 07:22:16 AM »
I'm not a gambler, by nature, so I can enjoy watching a 12 race card without betting.(If they don't run out of beer) Hanging out with the likes of Carless Hal, Jug, The Family Pezz, Chicago Jazz, Yeah Baby, noc, Tony B, Amy Hollar, Beans & Weenies, Bettor, Overdover, Mr B, Cashman, Race Track Phil, and countless others is just a hoot. Best folks on the planet.

If I do bet I usually play a 4 horse tri-box for $1. I've hit several of those over the years and ended up ahead, though I don't know the %. I pick the 3 that should be in it, then look for some odds value for my 4th pick. I always enjoy watching a good race card at the track, versus watching it on the tube.
Somewhere in Kenya a village is missing it's idiot.

Danville

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #28 on: July 28, 2012, 07:56:31 AM »
It has always been my understanding that the best cappers have about a 33% strike rate.

Then we all know about the infamous capper named " nickels " who wins 98% of the time.

The "infamous" one been on a losing streak it would appear ??
You can be pretty sure there is tyranny in the country when the government pleads the fifth
Amendment !!

The Skipper

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Re: Winning percentage question!
« Reply #29 on: July 28, 2012, 12:22:17 PM »
I'm not a gambler, by nature, so I can enjoy watching a 12 race card without betting.(If they don't run out of beer) Hanging out with the likes of Carless Hal, Jug, The Family Pezz, Chicago Jazz, Yeah Baby, noc, Tony B, Amy Hollar, Beans & Weenies, Bettor, Overdover, Mr B, Cashman, Race Track Phil, and countless others is just a hoot. Best folks on the planet.

If I do bet I usually play a 4 horse tri-box for $1. I've hit several of those over the years and ended up ahead, though I don't know the %. I pick the 3 that should be in it, then look for some odds value for my 4th pick. I always enjoy watching a good race card at the track, versus watching it on the tube.

Sure leave me off your list, guess I'm only good for doing your chores while you watch the cooler  4pezz2

 

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