Balmoral 11/09/13 Am. Nat. Picks

[Mags]

nice weather..great horses..cold beer...lets get to it

Race 1 - #6 Aliyah Maria - versatile one can race up close or off pace where I prefer her..cover trip hopefully..using with 1,4,7
Race 2 - #4 Deadliest Catch - trainer drives and shows breaks but flat mile should beat these..using with 1,3,5
Race 3 - #1 Southwind Silence - speed, class and inside draw leads to victory..using with 5,8,10
Race 4 - #9 Somesizesomestyle - speed tightner last week and picks up Gingras..using with 5,4,10
Race 5 - #10 Spider Blue Chip - stuck outside but Pierce for big $ is always solid..using with 3,5,7
Race 6 - #9 Mister Herbie - Sears 1st time and sholud love our stretch..using with 2,5,8
Race 7 - #7 I Luv the Nitelife - she refuse to lose and these are easier..using with 3,2,6
Race 8 - #6 bee A Magician - would like to go against but with who?..using with 4,7,1
Race 9 - #6 Lucan Hanover - hung to dry in the messenger..needs some racing luck to beat the"captain" ..using with 2,3,4
Race 10 - #2 Foiled Again - the "warrior" draws inside  and will be on the move early..catch him if can..using with 6,8,9
Race 11 - #6 Breakin the Law - gets Gingras and brushed almost holding to the wire..using with 1,5,9
Race 12 - #3 Extravagant Art - lead or 2 hole and gets OO 1st time..using with 2,5,7
Race 13 - #8 Lucky jet - class drop the key..softest hes been in a while..using with 1,2,3

Best of Luck all

[burton]

Fantastic card which was a pleasure to handicap.

R1 7 Fox Valley Touche - looks like there will be some movement here and Hiteman should be in position to out close these. Not a bad price here. 7W1/3/6

R2 4 Deadliest Catch
R3 1 Southwind Silence
R4 8 Lets Drink on it

R5 3 Creatine- Lachance thinks his trotter is the best. Was po'd he didn't win Breeders Crown. He has inside position over Spider blue Chip and that's huge. Look for Punxsutawney Phil to show some trot for Jerry Graham. 3W2/10/7

R6 5 Guccio will finally catch a field on this long stretch at a price. There will be speed. Maven is in over her head and doesn't have enough speed for these. Would need a couple major breaks. 5W2/9/8

R7 7 I Luv The Nitelife is one tough filly but price is too low. She's my pick Longshot players may want to look at #2 Auniqueaquisition. Has a big brush if ILNL falters.

R8 6 Bee A Magician- Horse of the year!
R9 2 Captaintreacherous

R10 8 - Warrawee Needy draws outside but it's not the 10 hole like last week. Was going to win Breeders Crown. Let's see Tetrick get him in position at a price.8W9/2/10
Pick Four (8/9/10-2/4/5/6-3/6-2/3/8)

R11 6 Breakin The Law is my best bet of the night. Has a wicked brush which Gingras will use at the opportune time. 6W4/5/2
R12 6 Four Starzzz
R13 8 Lucky Jet


Good luck to all!!!!

[Mags]

good luck tonight Burton..I'm afraid Breakin the law will be quite popular at the window because of Yannick but I like him a lot also

[burton]

good luck tonight Burton..I'm afraid Breakin the law will be quite popular at the window because of Yannick but I like him a lot also

You're probably right.
My best shots at some cash are Guccio and Warrawee Needy.
Good luck to you Mags!

[3 wide and wingin]

race 1- 7 fox valley touche
race 2- 1 major Athens
race 3- 5 shell bell
race 4- 8 lets drink on it
race 5- 10 spider blue chip
race 6- 2 market share
race 7- 7  I luv the nightlife
race 8- 6 bee a magician
race 9- 2 captain treacherous
race 10- 3 golden receiver
race 11- 4 gibbs
race 12- 5 uncle bud
race 13- 8 lucky jet

[tonyb147]

R6 5 Guccio will finally catch a field on this long stretch at a price. There will be speed. Maven is in over her head and doesn't have enough speed for these. Would need a couple major breaks. 5W2/9/8

I like this pick. This horse has been a major disappointment IMO. Just missed winning the 2012 Hambo (won by Market Share, My MVP was 3rd all in this race). Tons of ability, breaks every time Jimmy puts Pierce up. Maybe they need to geld him 

R10 8 - Warrawee Needy draws outside but it's not the 10 hole like last week. Was going to win Breeders Crown. Let's see Tetrick get him in position at a price.8W9/2/10
Pick Four (8/9/10-2/4/5/6-3/6-2/3/8)

I agree that he looked like a BC winner until he broke, but I don't like this spot. It's so hard to come from far back against these when there are no breathers in the mile. Spotting the field 15 lengths like last week is death. Very strong South wind will be in the horse's face in the stretch which usually favors the front.

Good luck with your selections

[careless hal]

Let me raise some warning flags.  Temp will be dropping through the night and strong winds could return.  Had to be 30-40 mph gusts earlier today. 
13th race--everybody and their uncle likes Lucky Jet.  Horse is coming down in class and could win, but I'll look elsewhere.  #1 Monopoly man--has been racing well of late. #3 Tizo Mojo-claimed by Smith for himself last out.
Now has OO up. Fast enough to beat these.  #2 Lennox Blue Chip-up until 2 starts ago was racing in the invitational handicap. Could blow these away.

11th race- #6 Breakin the Law- will be 2/5 with Gingras driving, could win but see no value . There are several others in here dropping out of the Inv. Handicap also, including one who beat him out of second last race. Gingras is not going to be pulling the sulky.  Not sure who I'll pick, but will look hard at #4 Gibbs-Gets the Bionic Man. #5 Ice Scrapper, and even #8 Silver Devil, who has won 3 in a row.

1st race-Many piking #7 Fox Valley Touche- many are picking her.  I only play Hiteman if I have no other viable options.  I boxed the 1-3-4-6.  Like Mags pick #6 Aliyah Maria.  This is a tough race and a horse I didn't play(Besides Touche) could win this.  Might play a super and if I do will throw in the 5 &7 under.

Good luck all.

[Mags]

agree with Hal and Tony that wind could play a big factor if strong..watching what happens early on which could make drivers even more important tonight

[LVGaryD]

Not posting any picks, but will be watching. This is very likely the best card ever held at Balmoral.

[cashman]

Good luck to everybody heading out there. I'm on vacation down on the Gulf. Drinking some cold beers as we speak.

I'm sure some beers maybe drank tonight.