Author Topic: Hamletonian Day  (Read 7253 times)

NIATROSS

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Hamletonian Day
« on: August 03, 2012, 10:36:20 PM »
Great card to watch and bet with very few singles on harness racing's greatest day.

r#1  #8 riverfest / must overcome the breaks and the month off   8/1510
r#2  #1 androvette /anything left after last week ? why is drop the ball the ml fav ?  1/456
r#3  #7 valdonna / zero breaks with jimmy takter driving 7/all
r#4  #10 piroquette hanover / last was just a tightener 10/24
r#5  #2 nikki beach / 1st single of the day  2/9
r#6  #5 capt treacherous / #9 has a shot if he stays flat 5/9
r#7  #4 to dream on / last was very impressive best bet today
r#8  #7 my man can / last week's 1st lifetime starts' goal was to make the final  7/123
r#9  help !!!!!!!!! stuck between the 123810
r#10 the 4 or 5 here
r#11 2 standouts here also with the  23/7
r#12 #1 uncle peter / i knows nothing is the danger
r#13 hate races with trailers need help here
r#14 #5 hurricane kingcole / ex 5-1 tris 5/all/1
r#15 alexie mattosie / needed last sightseeing race

good luck !

CyberChamp

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2012, 10:37:15 PM »

Here's a little insight to the card:

1. Last year, we saw the track bias go from favoring closers in the early races to speed favoring in the later races.

2. The afternoon card can lead to crazy results.  Chalk eaters (I mean chalk players) beware!  In 2010, 13 of 15 favorites lost...with 2 of them not hitting the board.  In 2011, 10 of 15 favs lost with 4 of them not hitting the board.

3. Keep an eye out for bridgejumpers!  Who can forget PUT ON A SHOW no hitting the board in 2010?

4. Twinspires is offer a bonus on all winning M1 pick4's on Saturday, making up the difference to ensure a 0% takeout!


Good luck!

CyberChamp

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2012, 11:00:39 PM »
Breakdown

R1 - 1,10,5    8,3
R2 - 4,5,1      6    8
R3 - 2,7,9     6    8
R4 - 4,3,2      10,5
R5 - 2,9,4,10,8($)
R6 - 5     7,9     8,6
R7 - 4     3(?)     8,5,10
R8 - 2,1,3    4($),10($)
R9 - 2,1,8    9,3    4
R10 - 4,5      2,7,6
R11 - 3,2     7
R12 - 2,3,1     4,7,5
R13 - 8(?),12(?)   1,4     3
R14 - 5   6     1,4,7
R15 - 8,9,2,10,5

Lock of the day: Race 6 - #5 CAPTAIN TREACHEROUS

Value play of the day: Race 8 - #4 APERFECTYANKEE broke last time and came flying late.

Wide open race of the day: Race 9 - COCO LINDY doesn't have much class, DON'T KNOW CHIP unfortunately has Macdonald aboard, Morrill may not be agressive with LIKEABATOUTAHELL

Showdown of the day: Race 10 - CHAPTER SEVEN/MISTER HERBIE rematch

Showdown sequel: Race 11 - CHECK ME OUT/MAVEN rematch

Hambo pick: Race 12 - #2 MARKET SHARE

Take a long look, these favorites are vulnerable: Race 13 - WE WILL SEE is 2-for-8 this season and there is a ton of speed to his inside.  FOILED AGAIN starts from the second tier and may not see the rail in this race.

Newbie watch: Race 15 - MALAK USWAAD N defeated MEIRS HANOVER last time out.  Is he the real deal?

Value watch:
Race 4 - #3 AIR GUITAR HANOVER (flying late last time)
Race 5 - #8 JERSEYLICIOUS (flying late last time, beaten fav)
Race 6 - #8 HAIL THE TAXI (went from 8th to 1st at Yonkers)
Race 7 - #8 ROYAL ASSETS (Schnittker to Tetrick)
Race 13 - #4 ARACACHE HANOVER (the Minister is back)
Race 15 - #2 ALEXIE MATTOSIE (had to have needed that last race)

Under/Over: Sears - 1.5
« Last Edit: August 03, 2012, 11:06:34 PM by CyberChamp »

Headpole Dave

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2012, 11:48:04 PM »
Good luck guys, here's what I like:
1- Aunt Mel (box with Talbot Creek Jewely in the exactors)
2- Put on a Show. Jody upsets the big guns. Box the exactor with Drop the Ball.
3- Sandra Volo
4- Rockaround Sue. Play on top of 1,2,3,6,10 in tri.
5- Nikki Beach. Key on top of Jerseylicious if playing exactors.
6- Source of Pride. Box with Captain Treacherous.
7- Raring to Go S.
8- Corky. Very tough race.
9- Don't Know Chip.
10- Mister Herbie.
11- Check Me Out - key on top of 1,3,4,7 in the tri
12- Knows Nothing.
13- Hypnotic Bluechip. Tough race. Box 1,4,8,11 in the tri
14- Panther Hanover. Box with Hurrikane King Cole.
15- Big Bam Ray.

Good luck to all playing. As you can see, I think Jody will have a big day!

Bdttitus

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #4 on: August 04, 2012, 01:39:10 AM »
I have one horse I absolutely love tomorrow.  15th race ,  the 10 horse . I have seen all of his races from Chester. This horse is an absolute GORILLA!!!! Probably will go in 48 tomorrow. Look who he beat in that last race  Meirs, Rockincam and We Will See. Chester is so speed favoring, to close like he does, is  so impressive!!!  I am telling you guys , you had better hop on board
« Last Edit: August 04, 2012, 01:42:52 AM by Bdttitus »

LVGaryD

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #5 on: August 04, 2012, 04:09:50 AM »
In an absolute atrocity, I work until noon pst today. If I'm lucky and noontime rush hour traffic is not too bad, I will get home to see the Hambo.
 4pezz2

careless hal

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #6 on: August 04, 2012, 04:30:49 AM »
Yesterday pretty much a chalk fest.  I play two of GN horses but of course, not the one in the last race that triggers a avalanch of cash.   4pezz2My best hit was like a $48 exacta.  The rest super puny.  Did not play any multi bet wagers yesterday--today that will change!

Early pk 5
1-3-5/1-4-5/2-7/2-4-5replace 2 with 3-5 in the 4th.
early pk 4
5-7/1-2-3-4/1-9/1-6-10

Late Pk 5
1-9/1-6-10/4-5/2/1-2-3-4

Late pk 4
1-2-3-4/1-4/4-5/1-2-9

Race 15 Super hi 5
1-2-9/1-2-9-3-5/1-2-9-3-5-6

Race 12  Hambo Super
1-2-3-4box  and 1-2/1-2-3-4/1-2-3-4-9-6

Race 11 Oaks Super
2/3-1-5-7-4   and 2/ 3-7/ 3-7-1-4-5-9-10

Race 2 Super  1--4-5-6/1-4-5-6-8  and 4-5/4-5-1-6/4-5-1-6-8-9-3

Good luck to all and to all posters who have horses going today.   
« Last Edit: August 04, 2012, 08:24:25 AM by careless hal »

careless hal

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #7 on: August 04, 2012, 04:39:37 AM »
I have one horse I absolutely love tomorrow.  15th race ,  the 10 horse . I have seen all of his races from Chester. This horse is an absolute GORILLA!!!! Probably will go in 48 tomorrow. Look who he beat in that last race  Meirs, Rockincam and We Will See. Chester is so speed favoring, to close like he does, is  so impressive!!!  I am telling you guys , you had better hop on board

OK!  Will play the 10 on top of my picks in place of the 9!!

burton

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2012, 05:41:36 AM »
Race 1 - Riverfest if flat is the best here.

Race 2 - I'll play Drop The Ball. I like seeing Gingras back on the horse and think that'll make the difference. Hopefully she'll be the second choice. 4W1/5/6

Race 3 - two horse race with Valdonna being best if falt and Sandra Volo looking solid with a speed trip. Sandra Volo has been good gaited as well.

Race 4 -#4 Rockaround Sue the best but no value.

Race 5 - #10 Shebetingin is much the best but no value.

Race 6 - allsigns point to Captaintreacherous but I'm playing a longshot in #8 Hail The Taxi. Jim Campbell trainee has raced on the smaller ovals and has been improving tremendously in last two especially the last win from the 8hole at Yonkers. Qualified at the BigM earlier in the year so is no stranger to the track. 8W5/4/9
Pick 4 (5/8-4/8-1/2/7-1/2/6)

Race 7 - Another price shot in #8 Royal Assets. Gets the big Schnittker to Tetrick change for the big money. 8W4/1/2 in this impressive group of 2 yr. old trotter who all look like they have some solid gaits with few breakers.

Race 8 - 1/2/7 look at a big price on #7 My Man Can. If you get it play this green but improving Andy Miller colt.

Race 9- an open field. Look at 1/2/6. # 6 may be played at big odds as he gets Sears. He's had some bad posts against tough foes and he could surprise ata price.

Race 10- Chapter Seven and Daylon Magocian are the top two here. Once again I like seeingSears get on Daylon Magician. If he's better than 5-1 jump on it.

Race 11 - Check Me Out and Maven

Race 12 - a very competitive Hambeltonian. My solid play is #2 Market Share. Good form and I think he's anotch better than the others with Archangel and Guccio being a cut above the favored Uncle Peter who I think will falter late. 2W4/1/7
Pick 4(2/4/7-6/8/12-1/4/5/6-2-10)

Race 13 - too crazy. Foiled WWS and longshot Rockincam.

Race 14 - I'll take Time To Roll on consistency. Rollinlikeabigshot will be closer and has a wicked brush. Hurrican Kingcole is fast but never races well when money is on the line. Pnather Hanover looks stong too. I'd try to beat the low priced fave, Hurricane.

Race 15 - This last race actually has my best play of the day in #2 Alex Mattosie. When he's right he's a FFA horse. He looks to be getting back to that form with a sneaky sharp try in a needed start from the 10 hole in his last race. He now draws inside, he has speed and remember he responds to the whip well and always seems to race better in NJ where whipping is allowed vs. Toronto where it isn't. He'll beat the big fave in the impressive #10 Malak Uswaad who looks like a monster but at low odds with the 10 hole to boot. 2W10/1/8

Good luck to all!!!!!!!!

pezz97

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #9 on: August 04, 2012, 05:45:14 AM »
Race#1.

Wide Open event to kick off the card.

#1 On The Bright Side- Only times she has lost this year is to the 2 favorites in the Oaks.

#3- Whimzical- Has raced great since going to Raymer. Sears back Aboard and an upset chance

#8 Riverfest- The Month off scares me, has raced well at the Big M


Race#2

#1 Anndrovette- What a mile 2 weeks ago. Will be right there

#4 Drop The Ball- Raced her eye balls out against the 1 just couldn't get by

#5 Put On A Show- Made up a ton of ground in a 54.1 back half. So Glad she came back good this year

#6 Rocklamation- Went first over to the 1 and just missed as well. Should be a great race

Race#3 

#6 D'Orsay- Huge Driver change as Marcus is finally off of her.

#7 Valdonna- She is probably the fastest horse in here if she stays flat

#9 Bluff- Added with the scratch of the 2. Taking a shot 2nd time Burke, First time yanni

Race#4-

#2 Sarandon Blue Chip- If she can find her form from 2 months ago, she would crush these. Just not the same right now

#4 Rockaround Sue- Just toyed with them last week. Has gotten really sharp at a good time

Race#5

#2 Nikki Beach- 3 for 3 and Sears hasn't asked her yet

#10 Shebestingin- Same as above for Miller. Should be a great showdown

.50 pick 5  1,3,8 x 1,4,5,6 x 6,7,9 x 2,4 x 2,10


Race#6

#5 Captaintreacherous- Comes home 26 every race. This Somebeachsomewhere Colt is going to be something special

Race#7

#4 To Dream On- She is just more advanced and better than these. Should romp again

Race#8

Throw a dart using 1,2,3,10

Race#9

Throw another dart using 1,2,8,9,10

$3 Pick 4   5 x 4 x 1,2,3,10 x 1,2,8,9,10



Race#10

#5 Mister Herbie, I think he is the best right now and just play him with Chapter 7 nd stand at the window to collect

Race#11

#3- Maven- Owns a win over Check Me Out this year and just missed beating her in the Eleganttimes- No they are not talking about her to draw interest, she is for real.

Race#12-

Most wide open hambo I have seen in many many years

Going to use a bunch to kick off the pick 4  1,2,3,4,6,7,9

Race#13-

Wide Open Pacing championship and I have to go deep here as well 1,4,8,12

Race#14

#1 Time To Roll- Has taken on the best in the country and has been right there

#5 Hurricane Kingcole- We all Know how fast he is, but any time he has had to face one of the better colts in the division he has come up short. We will see today

Race#15

#2 Alexie Mattosie- 2nd start off the layoff and should be better today. The class of the field


#10 Malak Uswaad- Wow so far, looking forward to see him today


$1 Pick 4  1,2,3,4,6,7,9 x 1,4,8,12 x 1,5 x 2,10



Good Luck to everyone playing today
« Last Edit: August 04, 2012, 07:50:50 AM by Hanging Like A Grape »

jug

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #10 on: August 04, 2012, 05:57:46 AM »
Hurricane King Cole will beat Time To Roll, a ton better......can not lose!!  ;D


Four horse win parly...... Mister Herbie, Maven, King Cole, Alexie!!.....turning $100.00 into my house payment!!

Grape.....you need to cut that pick 4 spread way down so I can play!!

Good luck to everyone!!
« Last Edit: August 04, 2012, 06:00:15 AM by jug »

pezz97

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #11 on: August 04, 2012, 06:04:43 AM »
Hurricane King Cole will beat Time To Roll, a ton better......can not lose!!  ;D


Four horse win parly...... Mister Herbie, Maven, King Cole, Alexie!!.....turning $100.00 into my house payment!!

Grape.....you need to cut that pick 4 spread way down so I can play!!

Good luck to everyone!!
rflmao1 rflmao1

By the way the Handle today will be 9 million dollars

cashman

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #12 on: August 04, 2012, 07:06:56 AM »
Got to work all day today.  So. Only betting  3 horses.     Check me out wins easy and betting uncle Peter to win boxing 1346 in ex and tris


Race 9 like Zooming here too

Good luck all

Headpole Dave

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #13 on: August 04, 2012, 07:20:49 AM »
Great to see so many selections. Looks like I'm a little off the beaten path lol... Hope everyone makes money today, great to see a positive thread about such an outstanding card. Wish I could be there live! Once again good luck all, and if there are other posters out there that haven't put their picks in, let's see them! Cheers.

Elgin

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Re: Hamletonian Day
« Reply #14 on: August 04, 2012, 07:47:45 AM »
WWS is the best horse in the USPC. He's very versatile. Pierce will have his nose on the gate; he'll find a good seat as Andy Miller and Brennan knock heads with Golden Receiver and Aracache. WWS.

 

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