Author Topic: Derby Day 5/5  (Read 6642 times)

pezz97

  • Guest
Derby Day 5/5
« on: May 04, 2012, 04:56:13 PM »
Can someone please explain to me why in the world in race#7, That Shackelford is listing as the morning line favorite????


Did DarinZ make the line for that race?? WTF

NIATROSS

  • Guest
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2012, 05:50:03 PM »
The 6 does not show a win at distance.
The 1 is comimg off a huge layoff
Shackleford just ran 3rd behind arguably the best 7 furlong or mile horses in America..
He drew inside of the 6
If the race was 6 furlongs I would not have him  as the fav but at  7 I would.

srotagtbs

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 291
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2012, 05:58:53 PM »
Pezz, I think the ML maker is predicting that Shackleford will be bet on name recognition from last year's Triple Crown.

Keeping in them with my "Value" plays, I like the 3 and 5 as longshots. Now you are free to AUTOTOSS them.  rflmao1 rflmao1 rflmao1


These longshots are my picks if the track is dry, which I'm not sure it will be.
« Last Edit: May 04, 2012, 06:00:59 PM by srotagtbs »

cashman

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 877
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2012, 09:59:41 PM »
I ended up getting off Rags and Dullahan  and on to Creative Cause. I bet him on top of all my gimmicks and wp. Threw Bode on top of one tri ticket. Even though i dont think he will be around at the end.

Good luck all.

badolpuddytat

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 574
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2012, 03:57:54 AM »
I ended up getting off Rags and Dullahan  and on to Creative Cause. I bet him on top of all my gimmicks and wp. Threw Bode on top of one tri ticket. Even though i dont think he will be around at the end.

Good luck all.
Oh Shit Cashman!!! WE ARE GOING DOWN TOGETHER!!! Does that make CC an AUTOTOSS!!!!

careless hal

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3233
  • Can a people tax themselves into prosperity?
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2012, 04:08:19 AM »
I think I liked yseterdays card better from a betting standpoint.  Have enough of my winnings from yesterday to play today, so that is good.  HAven't identified any big bets as of yet, so for now, I'm taking it easy.  Do have 3 live ones in the Oaks/Derby double.  Hope that works out.

Race 1  Politically Correct- can handle these  Atigun- will be heavy fav, could win but no value.  Point Taken- comesin ready for this.  Will throw in Afford for the gimmicks

RAce 2  VAsten looks ready off last , Rock N Glamour-like some of his works
Speargun-ready to win

Race 3  Z Dagger-looks ready now  Windsurfer-faced tougher  Golden Terror-likely fav  Agent Di Nozzo- going long today

Race 4  Southern Anthem-speedy sort Veriformerscratched-making comeback try. 
Souper Spectacular-scratchedanother comeback kid


« Last Edit: May 05, 2012, 07:07:57 AM by careless hal »

Mags

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 637
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2012, 05:53:30 AM »
been on a cold streak last month so we shake things up and look thoroughbred today..my derby picks

#5 Dullahan - no wins on dirt but after watching last yrs juvenile from Churchill he seemed to get around ok and he should love the added distance..last race was visually impressive though it was on Keenelands artificial..with him using #4 Union Rags,#13 Went the Day well, and #19 I'll have another and probably boxing those four..good luck everyone

NIATROSS

  • Guest
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2012, 06:43:24 AM »
Off the turf in the 4th.

NIATROSS

  • Guest
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2012, 06:57:45 AM »
The track is sloppy

R#1

NO way should the 2 be 7-5 ML.
I am making a $20 win on the 1 Point Taken.

R#2
#1 Rock N Glamour
Taking a shot with first time starter Like the works and Trainer bad post
$15w  $45s
« Last Edit: May 05, 2012, 07:14:06 AM by NIATROSS »

careless hal

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3233
  • Can a people tax themselves into prosperity?
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2012, 07:03:12 AM »
Race 5  #1 Seven Lively Sins-should be flying  Devoted Wildcat-Am throwing out last on the turf  Therma Cat-crushed em at the Hawt  Mile High Magic- west coast speedster  Alexander The Great-insane longshot

RAce 6  Bridgetown-will crush them if ready Great Attack-has speed  Great Mills-another speedy sort  Shabaab- nice work

Race 7  Shakelford- best bet of century  Amazombie- could prevail if fav is mugged

RAce 8  Arunascratched-all systems go  Daisey Devinesharp work  #3 Marketing Mix-decent sort
« Last Edit: May 05, 2012, 07:10:08 AM by careless hal »

careless hal

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3233
  • Can a people tax themselves into prosperity?
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2012, 07:05:24 AM »
 
Race 1 Current Dirt-Sloppy
 Race 2 Current Dirt-Sloppy

3 FLYING BOB JOHN scratched (Reason: Veterinarian)
6 HAMILTONIAN scratched (Reason: Veterinarian)
7 SPEARGUN scratched (Reason: Veterinarian)
Race 3 Current Dirt-Sloppy
 Race 4 Current Dirt-Sloppy

1 SOUTHERN ANTHEM jockey changed to Garrett K. Gomez
4 SILVER ROCK scratched (Reason: Off-Turf)
5 VERTIFORMER scratched (Reason: Off-Turf)
8 SOUPER SPECTACULAR scratched (Reason: Off-Turf)
10 CRIMSON CHINA scratched (Reason: Off-Turf)
13 WESTSHORE scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
14 VIGILANTE LAW scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
Race 5 Current Dirt-Sloppy

4 TIZ TEE TIME scratched (Reason: Veterinarian)
8 FEARSOME scratched (Reason: Veterinarian)
13 ADENA'S CHANCE scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
14 LOVE REIGNS scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible) Race 6 Current Turf-Good

3 CACTUS SON jockey changed to Garrett K. Gomez
Race 7 Current Dirt-Sloppy
 Race 8 Current Turf-Good

2 HOOH WHY scratched (Reason: Trainer)
4 TAPITSFLY jockey changed to Ramon A. Dominguez
6 ANNABEL LEE scratched (Reason: Trainer)
7 ARUNA scratched (Reason: Trainer)
Race 9 Current Dirt-Sloppy

3 SASSY IMAGE jockey changed to Ramon A. Dominguez Race 10 Current Turf-Good
 
Race 11 Current Dirt-Sloppy

21 MY ADONIS scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible) Race 12 Current Dirt-Sloppy

2 BET THE POWER jockey changed to Joel Rosario
5 DE PRICE scratched (Reason: Stewards)
6 SUN BEAR scratched (Reason: Trainer)
9 SATURDAY DANCE scratched (Reason: Veterinarian)
Race 13 Current Dirt-Sloppy

1A MOON TRAVELER scratched (Reason: Trainer)   

cashman

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 877
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2012, 07:10:13 AM »
Oh Shit Cashman!!! WE ARE GOING DOWN TOGETHER!!! Does that make CC an AUTOTOSS!!!!

Most likely Puddy     im terrible when it comes to the derby. Dullahan probaly wins now.


 rflmao1 rflmao1 rflmao1 rflmao1

pezz97

  • Guest
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2012, 07:29:20 AM »
Race#1 


$5 DD 1,2 x 1,4

careless hal

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3233
  • Can a people tax themselves into prosperity?
    • View Profile
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #13 on: May 05, 2012, 07:29:43 AM »
Race 1 pk 3 1-2-5/10/3-5-7

pezz97

  • Guest
Re: Derby Day 5/5
« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2012, 07:49:53 AM »
Race #5 I really Like the 3. Reminds me of how Bodemeister came out this year. Martin never moved a muscle in his last and was just so impressive. With track still a little wet, I will use the 12 on a saver ticket in the pick 4


Race#2  .50 pick 4   1,2,4,5 x 3,5,7,10 x 1,6,9,12,x 3

              .50 Pick 4   1,2,4,5 x 3,5,7,10 x 1,6 x 12

 

Big Dee's Tack and Vet Supply