Good points, Elgin.
Strong closer bias last week. Figured Tetrick wouldn't abuse Anndrovette from the outside post last time. Suprised to see her come home in :26 flat and only catch two horses in the last quarter mile.
Based on the post positions for the final, I suspect that Tetrick might step on the gas with Anndrovette. I think he knows better than to be behind Higher and Higher turning for home. Not confident that she will hold up on the front end, however.
I still think Put on a Show is a little short from all the time off. No doubt Sears will try near the front end as well.
Rocklamation, IMO, has no chance from the outside post. She might find an early spot in front of one of her entry mates, but beating these from that post will be nearly impossible.
I think Higher and Higher will get a second or third over trip and should hit the ticket. Might still offer some value as well.
I'm not a fan of Tea Party Princess, but she's proven to me twice that she can beat Put on a Show, so she gets a higher rating in my book. She had a perfect pocket trip in the first leg and still couldn't win...and for that I don't think she wins this either.
Chancey Lady is hit or miss...and she only hits as a closer when the speed tires in the stretch. Not for me.
I think Royal Cee Cee deserves another look. Drops Brandon Simpson after two tries and now gets Pierce. Expect a more aggressive effort from a guy who knows how to win the big races.
Here's how I rate 'em for the final:
Top Tier (likely winner): Anndrovette, Higher and Higher, Royal Cee Cee (value play)
2nd Tier: Tea Party Princess, Put on a Show, Rocklamation
